Memorial Tournament 2022 picks, predictions, ground, favorites, odds: Golf expert says Cameron Smith is fading

The 2022 Memorial Tournament is expected to be a return to major terms this week, as many of the PGA Tour’s top golfers will play at Muirfield Village Golf Club. The event begins Thursday in Dublin, Ohio, and seven of the world’s top 10 golfers will take to a course that has been steadily changing under renovations that have stretched through 2021. That means lightning-fast greens and rough brutal, but there should be plenty of Memorial Tournament 2022 players who can handle the challenge. This includes world number 2 Jon Rahm, who was forced to retire with a six-stroke lead last year. Defending champion Patrick Cantlay will also be there, as will Collin Morikawa, the man he beat in the playoffs. The other top 10 players are Cameron Smith, Viktor Hovland, Rory McIlroy and Jordan Spieth.

Rahm is the 9-1 favorite in Caesars Sportsbook’s latest 2022 Memorial Tournament odds. McIlroy is just behind at 10-1, Cantlay is 14-1 and Spieth, Smith and Morikawa are all priced at 18-1. Xander Schauffle (20-1), Viktor Hovland (22-1) and Shane Lowry (22-1) are also expected to be among the other top contenders for the 2022 Memorial Tournament. Before making picks for the 2022 Memorial Tournament or predictions on the PGA tour, you really need to see what proven golf insider Sal Johnson has to say.

The esteemed golf insider has been in the game for many years and knows what it takes to win on the PGA Tour.

Prior to the PGA Championship, Johnson predicted that if Thomas nailed his putts, he could definitely win. Thomas had his best week of the season on the greens, earning over 1.5 shots and ranking second in the field. The result? He beat Will Zalatoris in the playoffs to win his second major and his second PGA Championship.

In his previous series of predictions for SportsLine, Johnson won the Masters for the third time in four years. He backed Scheffler, saying he was “in a race where he’s been tough to beat, and I see him continuing at Augusta National.” The 25-year-old picked up his fourth win of the season.

Now Johnson, the first “Inside the PGA Tour” producer and longtime ABC Sports golf producer who has worked with Jack Nicklaus and Arnold Palmer, has released his very confident 2022 Memorial Tournament (view tickets on StubHub) selections and predictions. The founder’s picks for GOLFstats.com, the world’s best golf stats database, will surely surprise you. You can only see them on SportsLine.

Top Expert Picks from the 2022 Memorial Tournament

A shocking choice: Johnson fades Cameron Smith, who is among the favorites but struggled a lot at Muirfield. The Australian missed the cut four times in six tries, and he only broke par once in 16 rounds there. His putter hasn’t carried him like it did earlier in the season, and while he has two wins and is tied for third at the Masters, he’s unlikely to fight this week. “He’s a bad pick for this week,” Johnson said.

On the other hand, Johnson knows Rahm has proven himself to be a horse for this course over the past two years, and he will want to make a statement. The Spaniard has been dominant at Muirfield, winning by three strokes in 2020 despite being penalized two strokes for moving the ball before a shot. The 27-year-old will prepare to defend his US Open title in two weeks, and he ranks first in strokes won: off the tee, second in strokes won: tee-to-green and 13th in average. If his putter is hot like it was for his victory in Mexico, he could get another win.

The pundit will also be eager to see what McIlroy can do and if he can finally play golf for a full tournament. The 33-year-old four-time major winner is having his best season in a few years, ranking third in shots gained: off the tee and No. 1 in scoring average (69.15). Without his habit of faltering at least one lap, he could have plenty of wins this year. He finished in the top 10 in three consecutive tournaments, including a second-place finish at the Masters and an eighth-place finish at the PGA Championship. His all-around game should suit Muirfield well.

How to Make Golf Picks for the 2022 Memorial Tournament

Johnson is high on a huge long shot at Muirfield that comes in around 50-1. This veteran still has the knack for hitting all the time, and he’s starting to show better results. His skills match the course well and he could pull off a stunning result. You can cash in a lot if he does, and you can only see who it is and get the rest of Johnson’s picks on SportsLine.

Who wins the 2022 Memorial Tournament? Where do Rory McIlroy and Jon Rahm end up? And what massive long shot is a must-back? Check out the odds below, then visit SportsLine to see Sal Johnson’s full standings, picks and analysis for the 2022 Memorial Tournamentall from the insider who’s tuned into what it takes to win on the PGA Tour, and find out.

2022 Memorial Tournament odds, field, top contenders

Jon Rahm 9-1
Rory McIlroy 10-1
Patrick Canlay 14-1
Jordan Spieth 18-1
Cameron Smith 18-1
Colin Morikawa 18-1
Xander Schauele 20-1
Victor Hovland 22-1
Shane Lowry 22-1
Matt Fitzpatrick 25-1
Hideki Matsuyama 25-1
Will Zalatoris 28-1
Joaquin Niemann 35-1
Max Homa 35-1
Cameron Young 35-1
Sungjae Im 35-1
Davis Riley 40-1
Daniel Berger 40-1
Mito Pereira 45-1
Keegan Bradley 50-1
Abraham Ancer 50-1
Corey Conners 50-1
Patrick Roseau 50-1
Seamus Power 55-1
Billy Horschel 60-1
Jason Day 60-1
Bryson DeChambeau 60-1
Adam Scott 60-1
Chris Kirk 60-1
Marc Leishman 60-1
Matt Kuchar 65-1
Aaron Sage 65-1
Gary Woodland 65-1
Alex Noren 65-1
Tom Hoge 80-1
If Woo Kim 80-1
Ryan Palmer 80-1
Ricky Fowler 80-1
Brian Harman 80-1
CT Pan 100-1
Lanto Griffon 100-1
Harris English 100-1
Keith Mitchell 100-1
Cameron Tringale 100-1
Jhonattan Vegas 100-1
Cameron Champion 100-1
Kyoung-Hoon Lee 100-1
Cam Davis 100-1
Adam Hadwin 100-1
Stewart Cink 100-1
Sepp Straka 100-1
Anirban Lahiri 125-1
Troy Merritt 125-1
Russell Knox 125-1
Kevin Streelman 125-1
Scott Stallings 125-1
Matt Jones 125-1
Luke List 125-1
Lucas Herbert 150-1
Denny McCarthy 150-1
Doug Ghim 150-1
Pat Perez 150-1
Brendan Steele 150-1
Charles Howel 150-1
Aaron Rai 150-1
Joel Dahmen 150-1
Erik Van Rooyen 150-1
Adam Long 150-1
Mackenzie Hughes 150-1
Patton Kizzire 150-1
Matthew Ne Smith 150-1
Matthew Wolff 150-1
JT Poston 175-1
Lucas Glover 175-1
Emiliano Grillo 200-1
Patrick Rodgers 200-1
Ryan Moore 200-1
Andrew Putnam 200-1
Handsome Hossler 200-1
Alex Smalley 200-1
Danny Willet 200-1
Kurt Kitayama 200-1
Francesco Molinari 200-1
Sahith Theegala 200-1
Martin Laird 250-1
David Lipsky 250-1
Nate Lashley 250-1
Brandt Snedeker 250-1
Pierre Malnati 250-1
Chad Ramey 250-1
Charley Hoffman 300-1
Danny Lee 300-1
Harry Higgs 300-1
Adam Svensson 300-1
Luke Donald 300-1
Carlos Ortiz 300-1
Hudson Swafford 300-1
Taylor Moore 300-1
Wyndham Clark 300-1
Garrick Higo 300-1
Rafa Cabrera Bello 300-1
Min Woo Lee 300-1
Brandon Wu 300-1
Adam Schenk 350-1
Lower Justin 400-1
Camilo Villegas 500-1
Luck Curtis 500-1
Bo Hoag 500-1
Robert Streb 500-1
David Lingmerth 500-1
Jediah Morgan 500-1
Chan Kim 500-1
John Pack 500-1
Ryan Brehm 500-1
William McGirt 500-1
Brandon Hagy 500-1
Jason Dufner 500-1
Nick Watney 500-1
Laird Berger 1000-1
James Piot 1000-1